Jordan Turnbull’s 68th minute strike consigned Crawley to a fourth successive league defeat, but Scott Lindsey’s men will have been left wondering how they didn’t leave the Wirral with at least a point.
Crawley were handed a lifeline on 80 minutes when Joel Lynch was bundled over in the box, but Dom Telford blazed his spot kick over the crossbar.
Here’s how that defeat has changed their predicted points total and finish, according to the supercomputer.
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17. Newport County - 56pts (-5)
No chance of play-offs and no danger of relegation. Photo: Pete Norton
18. Crewe Alexandra - 52pts (-17)
No chance of play-offs and no danger of relegation. Photo: Naomi Baker
19. Colchester United - 50pts (-11)
Relegation chance: 2% Photo: Pete Norton
20. Gillingham - 49pts (-20)
Relegation chances: 4% Photo: Getty Images